GTO Wizard Analyzes Alex Foxen’s WSOP $25,000 Six Max Elimination

The easiest poker gamers of the world are in motion on the 2024 World Sequence of Poker, and no extra so than within the numerous Excessive Curler tournaments.

These embody the $250,000 Tremendous Excessive Curler which will get underway later this month (June 21), however there was nonetheless loads of $25,000 Excessive Curler motion on show.

Within the newest GTO Wizard Hand Evaluation we check out an enormous pot that noticed Alex Foxen mud off the six-bet with three tables remaining.

The Hand

With 18 gamers remaining in Occasion #21: $25,000 Excessive Curler Six Handed No-Restrict Maintain’em, palms had been ending in any respect tables forward of the three desk redraw.

At one desk, Kevin Rabichow opened to 80,000 from below the gun and Stoyan Madanzhiev three-bet to 240,000. Alex Foxen was within the huge blind and four-bet to 575,000.

Rabichow folded earlier than Madanzhiev verbally introduced a five-bet to 1,175,000. Foxen used a time financial institution earlier than transferring all in for two,675,000 with Madanzhiev calling.

Alex Foxen: A♥5♠Stoyan Madanzhiev: A♦Okay♥

There was a murmur as Foxen confirmed his gap playing cards, and he failed to beat the ace-king of Madanzhiev on the ten♠8♣6♦J♦Okay♠ runout. Foxen was eradicated in 18th place for $64,429.

Wizard’s Knowledge

Because of GTO Wizard, we’re capable of analyze the 2 main spots on this hand: Foxen’s resolution to four-bet, and Madanzhiev’s resolution to five-bet as an alternative of shove.

Foxen’s 4-Wager

Evaluation from GTO Wizard exhibits that Foxen’s chilly four-bet is not beneficial going through an open and a three-bet on this place. Why is that? Let’s discover out:

On this state of affairs, it is a on condition that we’re up towards two uncapped ranges. Meaning, ranges which include our opponents finest palms at full frequency. Due to this fact, we must be very tight with our worth four-bets. Even a “worth” hand like 10x10x at all times folds on this spot, because it’s too skinny.

Since our bluffs exist to accommodate our worth palms, we will’t be unfastened with our bluffs when our worth threshold may be very strict. Due to this fact, our bluff threshold additionally must be very strict to keep away from enjoying an exploitable and unbalanced technique.

Offsuit palms like Ax5x exist in 12 combos. Even when he would solely four-bet A5o half the time (six combos), in relation to our worth raises (JJ+, 24 combos), we will see that it is a massively over-bluffing technique.

Even when Madanzhiev doesn’t alter to this technique, bluffing THIS huge will enhance Madanzhiev’s general expectation by rather a lot, nonetheless.

To hit the purpose dwelling, let’s take a look at Foxen’s GTO technique:

This chart ought to make it clear that Ax5x offsuit may be very removed from a chilly four-bet bluff. Even suited broadways are folding a good quantity. If each the opener and the three-bettor would play very huge ranges, it could nonetheless be inconceivable to justify bluffing A5o.

Madanzhiev’s 5-Wager

Whereas Stoyan’s non-all-in five-bet just isn’t authorized by the solver, it’s nonetheless a fantastic play. He would possibly’ve been onto one thing, although, as a result of we noticed this play motivated Foxen to place in the remainder of his stack, which amplified his first mistake even additional.

5-betting to a non-all-in dimension when there are solely ~50 huge blinds in villain’s stack left just isn’t optimum, however not a mistake per se. The solver does say that elevating to round 30 huge blinds in comparison with the all-in ought to yield nearly the identical consequence.